How Old is the Tropical Zodiac?

Introduction

The original regular twelve-sign zodiac was a Babylonian invention. It was strongly shaped by both the tropical year of 12 lunar months, each roughly 30 days in length, as well as the stars, namely their constellations and the planetary periods relative to them. That zodiac was intended to be both tropical and sidereal; to correspond with both the seasonal year and the stars.

That was prior to the 2nd century BCE discovery by Hipparchus of precession, the slow shifting of the tropical year relative to the stars. That discovery was not widely known until many centuries later, after Ptolemy’s popularization of it (2nd century CE). Ptolemy’s advocacy for the tropical zodiac on the basis of precession did much for its widespread adoption by astrologers. However, the origins of the tropical zodiac predate Ptolemy, and even Hipparchus, by hundreds of years.

Two Emerge from One

Today, astrologers using a regular 12 sign zodiac must choose between the tropical zodiac and the sidereal zodiac. The tropical zodiac is fixed with respect to the Sun-Earth annual cycle, and is more popular in the west. The sidereal zodiac is fixed with respect to the stars and is more popular in Indian astrology. Both are valid symbolic divisions of the ecliptic in the context of their respective traditions. Neither zodiac corresponds to the constellations themselves which are greatly unequal in size with no clear borders or starting point.

The astrological prominence of the tropical zodiac in the west is strongly linked to Ptolemy. For this reason, it is often assumed that the tropical zodiac originated with Ptolemy (2nd century CE). Alternatively, people assume it started with the discovery of precession by Hipparchus (2nd century BCE). The truth is much more interesting. The tropical zodiac is nearly as old as the regular Babylonian zodiac itself. In fact, it was the standard zodiac of ancient Greek astronomy.

Early 5th Century BCE: Emergence of Twelve Signs

Historian of science, Francesca Rochberg, has asserted that the earliest direct evidence of the regular twelve sign zodiac is from Mesopotamia in the middle of the 5th century BCE.

The earliest direct evidence for the existence of the zodiac comes from fifth-century astronomical texts […] in which positions of the planets are cited with terminology used with respect to zodiacal signs as opposed to zodiacal constellations. (Rochberg, 2004, p. 130)

Rochberg noted that there is also some indirect evidence for the use of regular zodiacal signs earlier, in the early 5th century BCE.

The phenomena computed in these texts can be dated with relative certainty to 475 B.C., although the writing of the tablets was certainly much later. (Rochberg, 2004, p. 130)

Calendrical Influence

The calendrical origins of the Babylonian zodiac will be the subject of another article. However, you should know that the nature of the regular Babylonian zodiac was strongly shaped by a sense of an ideal annual solar calendar. There are 12 lunar months in a year and each lunar month has about 30 days (29.5). This is the origin of 12 signs of 360 degrees. The Babylonians even ensured that the sign corresponding with the month of the vernal equinox, which had been their first month, was the first sign (The Hired Man, corresponding to our Aries).

Constellations + Calendar

It is a myth that the 12 sign zodiac was shaped by a long standing use of a 12 constellation zodiac. The 12 constellation zodiac emerges close in time to the regularized 12 sign one and due to similar calendrical influences. The Babylonian tradition included a constellational zodiac of 18 constellations (sometimes condensed to 17). As the constellations became correlated with months, these constellations started to become grouped and condensed. The eventual 12 constellation Babylonian zodiac was very similar to, but not identical with, the one with which we are familiar today.

Progress towards the eventual system of zodiac signs is indicated by a Babylonian text of about the fifth century BC which lists the 12 months (ignoring the intercalary month) and their associated constellations, but assigns both Pleiades and Taurus to month II, both Orion and Gemini to month III and both Pegasus and Pisces to month XII. The final system of twelve zodiac signs of 30° first appears around the middle of the fifth century BC. (John Britton & Christopher Walker, Walker ed., 1996, p. 49)

The Twelve Constellations

The Greeks adapted the constellational zodiac (and the regularized zodiac as we’ll see) in their own way. The twelve zodiacal constellations familiar today are those of the ancient Greeks. Following Eudoxus (4th century BCE) and others, they were linked up with Greek myths and popularized. Perhaps the most famous expression of this was The Phaenomena by Aratus (3rd century BCE), which became one of the most popular texts of the ancient world.

[…] the question of Babylonian influence again arises. This is even more certain in another astronomical work of Eudoxus, a description of the heavens, as visible in Greece, in which he grouped all the fixed stars into the constellations which are still in use today. This work is a combination of traditional Greek nomenclature and mythology with Babylonian elements (most obviously in the twelve constellations of the zodiac). (G. J. Toomer, Walker ed., 1996, p. 73)

Antiquity of the Tropical Zodiac

As noted, the first indirect evidence for the regularized Babylonian zodiac is from the early 5th century BCE. Indirect evidence for an explicitly tropical Greek zodiac emerges soon after, in the same century. According to renowned historian of science Otto Neugebauer, the tropical zodiac starting at the vernal equinox was the standard among the old Greek astronomers. There is evidence for it all the way back to Euctemon in the late 5th century BCE.

We know from Hipparchus that the majority of the “old” mathematicians divided the ecliptic in this form. This statement agrees with sources still available to us; Euctemon (about -430) placed all four cardinal points on the “first day” of the respective signs. The same norm holds for Callippus (about -330) and is underlying the era of Dionysius (beginning -284/3). As far as we know this norm is attested nowhere in Babylonian astronomy. (Neugebauer, 2012, p. 600)

Euctemon and the Equinox

I mentioned that there is evidence of the tropical zodiac going back to Euctemon in the 5th century BCE. Euctemon may have fixed the zodiac relative to the cardinal points, but he still struggled with actually finding the equinox. He calculated the lengths of the seasons as 90, 90, 92, and 93 days (starting with summer) which is quite inaccurate. About a hundred years later, Callipus found the correct figures to within the nearest day (92, 89, 90, 94). A couple hundred years after Callipus, Hipparchus found even more precise figures.

The Trouble with Equinoxes

The idea of equinox is quite simple. Nights are long in winter, days are long in summer; somewhere in between they will be equal. But not exactly halfway in between: the solstices alone show that the sun does not move at a constant speed round the ecliptic. If it did, the time from summer solstice to winter solstice would be equal to the time from winter solstice to summer solstice, and Euctemon made these times 180 days and 185 days, respectively. How could he find the date of equinox? Not directly, by the length of daylight, because refraction makes the sun seem to be on the horizon when it is really below it. A better way is to find when the sun sets due west, though this, of course, will give the equinox only to the nearest day. Later, about 150 B.C., Hipparchus invented an ingenious device for finding the equinox quite accurately.   (Thurston, 1994, p. 112)

Once the equinox points had been found, the Greeks had an alternative way of placing the signs of the zodiac on the ecliptic, using the equinoxes instead of the stars as reference points. (Thurston, 1994, p. 112)

The Sophistication of Hipparchus

In the last section, I mentioned a quote about a device invented by Hipparchus to find the equinox accurately. This device involved a thin metal ring which was set up parallel to the plane of the equator. At the time of the equinox, the shadow of one half the ring would fall on the other half. It is probably the use of that device which allowed him to discover precession.

Interestingly, issues with finding the equinox persisted into the Middle Ages due to its importance in setting the date of Easter. It seems that in many ways Europe in the early Middle Ages was less technologically and astronomically sophisticated than Hipparchus with his device.

We find a similar situation with the Antikythera mechanism, a much more complex ancient device. The Antikythera mechanism (revisited below) was an advanced computing technology beyond the capabilities of the following Middle Ages. The mechanism relied heavily upon the work of Hipparchus and is estimated to have been built just a few decades after his death. It could model planetary motions through the tropical zodiac, as well as a range of other astronomical and calendrical events.

No, Really, Finding the Equinox is Not so Simple

My experience is that people today have a hard time grasping why it would be difficult to find the equinox. I myself was a little skeptical of the idea until I had done some research into archaeoastronomy, the history of astronomy, and the history of the calendar. Scholars in all three areas highlight the importance of the challenge of finding the equinox. That challenge is central not only to understanding the origins of the zodiac in antiquity, but also to understanding the Gregorian calendar reforms of the 16th century.

Archaeoastronomer, Clive Ruggles, has pointed out that the idea of the equinox was relatively easy for the Greek astronomers to conceptualize as they were developing geometrical models. It is similar for people in our time who are quite familiar with geometry. However, for those unfamiliar with Greek geometry and lacking the tools for proper measurement against such geometric models, it posed significant challenges.

Day/Night and Equinox

Day and night are actually not of equal length on the equinox because it gets light before sunrise and is still light after sunset.

It is even misleading to say that the equinoxes are the days when the time between sunrise and sunset is the same as that between sunset and sunrise, because this definition assumes a flat horizon and the absence of atmospheric effects, particularly refraction. In practice, one cannot determine the equinox by measuring the length of time between sunrise and sunset.  (Ruggles, 2015, p. 148)

Christianity and the Equinox

Finding the equinox even posed challenges for Christians of the medieval period. The equinox was a key to setting the date of Easter and orienting churches. The importance of being able to use the calendar to find the equinox for Easter purposes also led to the later Gregorian calendar reforms.

The fact that the equinox has, nonetheless, acquired crucial liturgical importance within the Christian world in connection with the timing of Easter is attributable to the roots of that tradition in the Classical world. The difficulties of recognizing and marking the equinox in medieval times were considerable, and this is reflected in the process and practice of orienting churches. (Ruggles, 2015, p. 151)

Eudoxus and the Spheres

We’ve seen how the Greeks were interested in orienting the zodiac to the equinoxes from the beginning. Also, I noted how their geometric methods enabled them to determine the equinox with increasing accuracy. During this period, from the adoption of the regular zodiac (late 5th century BCE) to Hipparchus (2nd century BCE), Greek models were growing increasingly complex and sophisticated. Note that the time of Euclid is right in there, in the late 4th to early 3rd century BCE. Also, Plato helps to kick off the period, as he was active in the early 4th century BCE.

Sophisticated Greek astronomy predated Hipparchus by a couple centuries. It really took off with Eudoxus (early 4th century BCE). Eudoxus invented more advanced mathematical methods to deal with incommensurable quantities (repeated in Book V of Euclid’s Elements). Also, he created a model of the heavens based on geocentric spheres. His ingenious system of linked spheres would pave the way for increasingly sophisticated models for describing the motions of the planets. Additionally, he is typically credited with adapting the twelve zodiacal constellations of the Babylonians into their Greek form (see earlier quote by Toomer)

Parapegmata

One of the ways we know the early Greek astronomers, such as Euctemon, used the tropical zodiac is from the parapegma attributed to each. These were almanac-like texts, going through the calendar year noting important weather and astronomical events that would fall on each date. The Greek tradition of parapegmata went back to at least Hesiod’s Works and Days (7th century BCE). In other words, the tradition of parapegmata begins not long after the Greeks adapt the alphabet of the Phoenicians to their language and rediscover writing (i.e. after the Greek Dark Ages). The cultural role of mythological epic, also prominent in early Greek texts, is undisputed, while the early importance of parapegmata in defining Greek culture is more often overlooked. A couple hundred years after Hesiod, the parapegmata of the old Greek astronomers started to use the equinoxes and solstices to define the start of each season.

The Parapegma of Geminos and its Predecessors

The parapegma of Geminos (1st century BCE) is a compilation based on six prior ones, particularly those of Euctemon (cited 46 times), Eudoxus (cited 61 times), and Kallippos (cited 34 times). The start of that parapegma is below and cites Kallippos (Callippus), of the mid-4th century BCE, as stating that Cancer begins to rise on the first day of summer, the solstice.

The times in which the Sun passes through each of the signs and, for each sign, the weather predictions, which are written underneath. We shall begin from summer solstice. The Sun passes through Cancer in 31 days. <On the> 1st day, according to Kallippos, Cancer begins to rise; summer solstice; and it signifies. (Geminos, Parapegma, Evans & Berggren trans., 2006, p. 231)

Prussian Faltkalender circa 1400 (public domain)

Tropical Zodiac without Knowledge of Precession

The fact that the tropical zodiac had become the Greek standard almost as soon as the zodiac reached Greece is well-attested. However, this is almost 300 years prior to the discovery of precession. Additionally, the tropical and sidereal zodiacs did not “line up” until about 600 years later. Therefore, it wasn’t a matter of their not being much difference between the zodiacs. Why did the Greeks divide the zodiac in that manner, if not due to precession?

We don’t have all the answers. The Greek astronomers had an increasingly sophisticated geometrical model of the heavens at their disposal. Babylonian models tended to be arithmetic rather than geometric. The Babylonian approximation of the vernal equinox at 8 degrees Aries was based on shadow clocks (gnomons) which is inaccurate. The Greeks, on the other hand, could find the equinox with greater ease using ever-improving geometric models. Due to the central role of the cardinal points in defining the year, it probably made much more sense to the Greeks as the frame of reference.

Geminos Compares the Greek and Babylonian Zodiacs

Geminos (1st century BCE) asserted that the tropical zodiac was the Greek standard and actively compared it with the Babylonian one.

The two solstices and the two equinoxes occur, in the way of thinking of the Greek astronomers, in the first degrees of these signs; but in the way of thinking of the Chaldeans, they occur in the eighth degrees of these signs. The days on which the two solstices and the two equinoxes occur are the same days in all places, because the equinox occurs in all places at one time, and similarly the solstice. And again, the points on the circle of the signs at which the two solstices and the two equinoxes occur are exactly the same points for all astronomers. There is no difference between the Greeks and the Chaldeans except in the division of the signs, since the first points of the signs are not subject to the same convention for them; among the Chaldeans, they precede by 8 degrees. Thus, the summer solstitial point, according to the practice of the Greeks, is in the first part of Cancer; but according to the practice of the Chaldeans, in the eighth degree. the case goes similarly for the remaining points. (Geminos, Ch. I, #9, Evans & Berggren trans., 2006, p. 115)

Interestingly, Geminos assumed that the Babylonian zodiac is essentially tropical. That is, that it is fixed with respect to the equinox. He asserted that it differs only in starting point from the Greek tropical zodiac. In fact, the Babylonian zodiac had used sidereal periods of the planets, calculated relative to stars rather than to the equinox. Their tables remained sidereally fixed while their estimation of the equinox’s zodiacal position accumulated error. By the time of Geminos, the equinox would have already been closer to 4° Aries, rather than 8° Aries, of the Babylonian zodiac used in practice.

Geometric Symmetry

Geminos actually criticized the Babylonian zodiac as illogical in some regards. He had no knowledge of the work of Hipparchus on precession a century earlier, as he does not invoke precession in his arguments. One particular point of contention pertains to what may be termed signs of equal daylight (antiscia). He discussed such signs as a type of aspect which he called “syzygy” or connected signs. He criticized the common reckoning of these signs as those equidistant from the solstitial signs (e.g. Gemini-Leo) rather than from the solstitial points (e.g. Gemini-Cancer).

But it happens that such an account is completely erroneous. For solstices do not occur in the whole of Cancer; rather, there is one certain point, perceivable through reason, at which the Sun makes its turning; for the solstices take place in a moment’s time. The whole twelfth-part of Cancer is situated in the same way as Gemini, and each of them is equally far from the summer solstitial point. For this reason, the lengths of the days are equal in Gemini and Cancer, and on the sundials, the curves described by the gnomons [when the Sun is] in Cancer and in Gemini are equally distant from the tropic {…} There are, then, in truth, 6 syzygies {antiscia signs}: Gemini with Cancer, Taurus with Leo, Aries with Virgo, Pisces with Libra, Aquarius with Scorpio, Capricorn with Sagittarius. {…}” (Geminos, Ch. II, #33-44, Evans & Berggren trans., 2006, p. 134-136 – curly brackets added)

This speaks to the desire to make the zodiac and its symmetries conform to the Sun-Earth relationship and its symmetries which define the seasonal year. A preoccupation with geometry and harmonious symmetrical models that best reflect nature were likely leading factors behind the development of the Greek tropical zodiac.

The Antikythera Mechanism

One of the most ingenious applications of the Greek geometrical model of the heavens is the Antikythera mechanism. It was an ancient analogue computer, the world’s first, dated to the 2nd or 1st century BCE. The mechanism was discovered in a shipwreck off the coast of the Greek island Antikythera in the early 20th century. It is believed to have had astronomical, astrological, and calendrical uses.

Fragment of recovered Antikythera mechanism

The mechanism relies upon the state of the art Greek geometrical model of the heavens of the time. It even incorporates a model of the irregular motion of the Moon which had been worked on by Hipparchus. For this reason, some initially believed Hipparchus might have been consulted in its construction. Its complexity and accuracy are such that they would not again be matched until the European astronomical clocks of the 14th century.

The Antikythera’s Tropical Zodiac

Scholars working on the mechanism have clarified that the zodiac calculations used were tropical, despite some initial press releases that were ambiguous as to this fact.

The letter ‘alpha’ can be read next to the zero degrees Libra (autumn equinox) position, suggesting that this zodiac was tropical, in accord with the Hipparchan innovation of starting at zero degrees Aries for the spring equinox. (Kollerstrom, 2007, p. 30)

Note that Kollerstrom incorrectly assumed the tropical zodiac was a “Hipparchan innovation”. In any case, the Antikythera mechanism’s zodiac was oriented to the cardinal points.

As Price had conjectured and I later confirmed, wheel B1 and a central arbor on axis B passing coaxially through it were geared together so that if one rotation of B1 were to represent one year, one revolution of the central spindle would represent one sidereal or tropical month. (“Sidereal month” was Price’s term. However, the dial includes a formal representation of the Zodiac and not a starmap; and the tropical year, not the sidereal year, had come to be regarded as a constant in Hellenistic astronomy. Therefore the term “tropical month” is correct.) (Wright, 2012, p. 3 of PDF)

On the Shoulders of Giants

When I asked my readers whether they believed the mechanism used the tropical or sidereal zodiac, 43% of them thought sidereal, 57% tropical. My readers tended to be familiar with the antiquity of the device and many assumed the tropical zodiac came much later. However, it is not surprising that the tropical zodiac was used. It was the standard zodiac of the old Greek astronomers as we have seen. The Antikythera mechanism’s construction relied upon the geometrical model of the heavens of those same astronomers.

A reconstruction of the Antikythera mechanism.

The Antikythera’s Parapegma

One of the more interesting features of the Antikythera mechanism is that it also served as a parapegma. I discussed parapegmata above. They are calendars for key astronomical and meteorological events of the year, which became linked with the Sun’s voyage through the tropical zodiac. Letters on the device are believed to have indexed astronomical phenomena, including certain risings and settings of stars. There were separate plates that one could refer to which described the phenomena indexed. This is yet another feature placing the mechanism firmly within the tradition of the old Greek astronomers.

In the next segment two letters of {ΠΑΡΘΕ}ΝΟ{Υ} – Virgo – can be distinguished, thus indicating a cycle of the signs of the zodiac in a clockwise direction. Around this dial are letters of the alphabet, which apparently start and finish at the autumnal equinox and relate to the parapegma text beneath the dial. The parapegma under the dial on the front of the Mechanism shows a traditional Greek calendar similar to that described by Geminus […]. (Edmunds & Morgan, 2000, p. 6.11)

Astrological Antikythera

It is widely believed that the tropical zodiac was not used astrologically until Ptolemy’s time and after. However, the fact that scholars believe that the mechanism may have been used for astrology casts considerable doubt on that assertion.

Horoscopic astrology depended on the availability of precise longitudes of the Sun, Moon, and planets for any given date and time, using the scale of zodiacal signs and degrees as on the Mechanism’s front dial. Eclipses were the most prominent astronomical phenomena whose prognostic significance was interpreted in “general” astrology, the part of the science dealing with forecasts for regions and peoples. And the Egyptian calendar finds a role here as a standard chronological framework for astronomical predictions, as we know from astronomical tables from the first century AD and later. (Jones, 2012, p. 16)

Technical Astronomy and Astrology

While in Ptolemy there is a clear fusion of technical astronomy with astrology, there were probably Greek precedents. Stoic philosophical notions regarding fate were becoming closely linked with technical astronomy around the time of Hipparchus and the mechanism. The birth of a sophisticated new astrology seems a natural byproduct of that fusion.

Although the tradition of Hipparchus may seem firmly astronomical, it must be remembered that Posidonius – probably the most brilliant mind behind the Rhodes school in the relevant period circa 100–51 BC – was a Stoic philosopher, with inevitably a holistic view of the universe. As summarized by Cumont (1912): “Posidonius defined man as the beholder and expounder of heaven,” and “In the declining days of antiquity, the common creed of all pagans came to be a scientific pantheism, in which the infinite power of the divinity that pervaded the universe was revealed by all the elements of  Nature.” On such a linked and predestined view, the foretelling of events by stellar and planetary positions  could certainly not seem – and did not seem in the increasingly dominant Roman mind – unreasonable. (Edmunds & Morgan, 2000, 6.17)

The Tropical Zodiac in Astrology

It is true that our early textual evidence, which is rather scant, suggests Hellenistic astrologers used a Babylonian concept of the zodiac. For instance, many placed the equinox at 8° Aries. However, an 8° Aries equinox alone is not evidence that a zodiac is not tropical. The Babylonian zodiac can be calculated as an offset tropical zodiac if normed to that 8° Aries equinox rather than to the stars.

Still, there is also evidence of astrologers, including Vettius Valens, calculating positions using sidereal tables. The use of these tables effectively yields sidereal positions. The reason for the prevalence of sidereal tables is obvious. It pertains to the difficulty of accurately finding the equinox and the lack of knowledge regarding precession. However, were there also astrologers who used tropical tables, developed by use of more sophisticated astronomy prior to the time of Ptolemy? There is some evidence that there were.

Early Tropical Astrology

On the tropical side of the equation there is the Antikythera mechanism, the fact that most works of the old Greek astronomers are lost, and some limited evidence for early astrological use of an explicitly tropical zodiac. Geminos, whose text contains some astrological lore (aspects for instance) explicitly advocated a tropical zodiac. Also, summaries of Thrasyllus suggest there were some astrologers in his day (1st century BCE) that placed the equinox at 0° Aries.

First he treats of the nature of the zōidia […] And that the tropics are not made at the first degree of the zōidion, as some maintain, but at the 8th degree. (Summary of the Table of Thrasyllus, Schmidt trans., 1995, p. 57-58)

This is significant as the foundational texts of Hellenistic astrology are believed to have been written in the 2nd or 1st century BCE. Thrasyllus was one of the earliest active figures in Hellenistic astrology for which we have some fragments. The summary suggests that the Babylonian and Greek zodiacs may have been in competition among astrologers of the day. Again, note that precession was not widely known at that time so it was not as much an issue of tropical vs. sidereal as where the zodiac starts relative to the equinox (see Geminos above).

Claudius Ptolemy’s Universe

Ptolemy’s Almagest was the main turning point which drove astrologers to mindfully and explicitly adopt the tropical zodiac. Ptolemy was an astrologer himself, yet equally adept in his treatment of optics, music theory, and advanced mathematical astronomy. His geocentric model of the heavens improved upon the most advanced Greek models of his predecessors.

Ptolemy’s cosmos became the standard astronomical model for about the next 1400 years. His popularization of the work of Hipparchus on precession also helped astrologers to draw a clear distinction between a tropical and sidereal zodiac. Prior to that it is evident that astrologers did not suspect a difference.

Conclusion

Today, the tropical zodiac, the old Greek standard fixed to the year and its defining Sun-Earth cycle, is  still popular in the west. By contrast, the east, particularly India, has found the sidereal zodiac, fixed with regards to the constellations, to be more compatible with its long-standing sidereal indigenous astrology. Whichever zodiac you choose to use, it is important to understand the complex and fascinating, but often misunderstood, history of the zodiac.

Further Reading

For further reading on the zodiac there are some other articles on this site that may interest you. The lesson on the signs explains some of the connections between sign associations in Hellenistic astrology and the tropical cycle. The article on why I use the tropical zodiac touches on some of the same issues addressed here but with a focus on practical Hellenistic astrology. The exploration of material on planetary days in Valens ends with a look at his chart, both in the sidereal calculation which reflects his statements about it and the tropical one which shifts the signs of two planets. The article on antiscia explores the symmetrical relationships highlighted by Geminos. Additionally, the book images of sources and related texts are links to purchase those texts from Amazon.

 

References

Edmunds, M. G., & Morgan, P. (2000). The Antikythera Mechanism: still a mystery of Greek astronomy?. Astronomy & geophysics41(6), 6-10.

Evans, J., & Berggren, J. L. (2018). Geminos’s Introduction to the Phenomena: A Translation and Study of a Hellenistic Survey of Astronomy. Princeton University Press.

Hand, R., & Schmidt, R. (1995). The Astrological Record of the Early Sages in Greek. Golden Hind Press.

Jones, A. (2012). The Antikythera mechanism and the public face of Greek science. Proceedings of Science38, 1-22.

Kollerstrom, N. (2007). Decoding the Antikythera Mechanism. Astronomy Now21(3), 32-35.

Wright, M. T. (2012). The front dial of the Antikythera mechanism. In Explorations in the History of Machines and Mechanisms (pp. 279-292). Springer, Dordrecht.

Neugebauer, O. (2012). A History of Ancient Mathematical Astronomy. Springer Berlin Heidelberg.

Rochberg, F. (2004). The Heavenly Writing: Divination, Horoscopy, and Astronomy in Mesopotamian Culture. Cambridge University Press.
Ruggles, C. L. N. (2005). Ancient Astronomy: An Encyclopedia of Cosmologies and Myth. ABC-CLIO.
Thurston, H. (2012). Early Astronomy. Springer New York.
Walker, C. B. F. (1997). Astronomy Before the Telescope. St. Martin’s Press.
Image Attributions

Feature image is reliefs of the 4 seasons from french sculptor Jean Goujon on the Hôtel de Carnavalet in Paris. Photo by Beckstet

The image of a piece of the recovered Antikythera mechanism is by Tilemahos Efthimiadis from Athens, Greece [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons

The image of the reconstruction of the Antikythera mechanism is by I, Mogi [CC BY-SA 3.0], via Wikimedia Commons

 

Traditional Astrology of Death | Special Techniques for Length of Life

Length of Life Techniques

In Hellenistic astrology, astrologers often presented special techniques for determining the length of life. The method for this determination would often differ from astrologer to astrologer. Sometimes, an astrologer might even present multiple approaches to determining the length of life. This was certainly the case in the Anthology by Vettius Valens (2nd century CE). Typically, length-of-life the techniques involve primary directions of a significator of the life force.

Do the techniques work? I put a bunch of such techniques to the test in this article. Note that I will not be fully explaining the techniques in this article. For more information on the techniques, please see my article on the special techniques. Also, please check out the passages from the relevant source texts referenced in the article.

Kirk Kerkorian Lived to 98

The recent death of Kirk Kerkorian has generated a lot of buzz in my stomping grounds of Southeast Michigan. He was a major business figure in this area, involved with the auto industry.  He died on 6/15/15, just 9 days after his 98th birthday.

I won’t be analyzing his life in this post. Rather I will look at the timing of his death. He lived to an advanced age, so his longevity allows us to compare and contrast a number of length of life techniques. Additionally, he was born with the Sun conjunct the MC and witnessed in the same sign by its bound lord (Venus). Therefore, his chart is more straightforward than typical in the matter of determining the control (hyleg) and govern4r (alcocoden).

All the techniques we’ll examine were presented in the first 5 centuries CE by Hellenistic astrologers. Later Medieval astrologers presented some of their own variations on such techniques. However, the fundamental methods behind those Medieval approaches came from Hellenistic astrology.

Birth Timing Issues

Kerkorian was reportedly born at Noon, which is always a somewhat suspicious time. He likely was born within minutes before or after. He was born on 6/6/1917 in Fresno, CA. His birth data is AA rated (i.e. from birth record).

Most length of life techniques involve primary directions. Primary directions are strongly dependent on the exact time of birth. My experience is that a recorded birth time is often slightly rounded or slightly later (due to delay) compared to the actual birth time. For instance, I saw my first born emerge at 12:12 and get recorded as 12:15. Therefore, a rough indication by primary directions, such as within a year, is sufficient for our purposes. Note that a birth time rounded by even just a few minutes could put primary directions off by more than a year in some cases.

Kirk Kerkorian’s Natal Chart

Part I: Special Techniques

I am not going to fully explain and evaluate each length of life technique due to the labor involved. I’m just going to look briefly at the indications according to a number of length of life techniques. After that, I’ll also discuss some general timing techniques that relate to the timing of death. Those interested in an overview of the length of life techniques of the Hellenistic era, can find it in a previous article.

Disclaimer

The Hellenistic techniques for length of life are not foolproof.  They have their issues. A thorough reading of this article and my other articles on the traditional astrology of death can serve as a good primer on the topic. However, it won’t give you the power to predict the length of life for other people using these techniques. Therefore, upon learning about these techniques, do everyone a favor and don’t predict death for people. Doing so is usually unethical. You will also usually be wrong. My analysis is in service of astrologers who would like to work to evaluate such techniques.

The Manilius Technique (early 1st century CE)

Roman astrologer Marcus Manilius provided a very brief and confusing bit of information on length of life indications. He provided a set of values for assigning years to each zodiacal sign and house for the length of life. However, he never fully explained how to use them. He did say that the Moon’s placement in the houses indicated the years, but didn’t explain what to do with the years of the signs.

This exposition starts at line 560 in Book III of Astronomica. Unfortunately, Manilius tells us that the full exposition will follow in a later section, and it never does. He began his section on the years of the houses by noting that if the Moon is in the 1st house she grants 78 years. Therefore, my best guess is that the house of the Moon provides the main indication. Perhaps the years of the sign (which are all small amounts) are added to the years of the house.

Years of the Houses

Manilius’s years of the houses tell us quite a bit about how he viewed the strength of the places. The angular places all give over 70 years. The 9th house gives 68 years despite being cadent. This indicates that Manilius put more emphasis on the scheme of which houses see the Ascendant than on cadency. In fact, Manilius gives more to IX than XI, implying he saw the trine with the Ascendant (IX) to be stronger than its sextile (XI). The only houses giving less than 50 years are 4 that don’t aspect the Ascendant, the so-called dark houses (II, VIII, VI, and XII). VI and XII are cadent and don’t aspect the Ascendant so are particularly weak (less than 25 years). Therefore, Manilius puts the stress on the effective places scheme of Timaeus.

I=78

II=42

III=50

IV=72

V=63

VI=12

VII=75

VIII=33

IX=68

X=77

XI=57

XII=23

Years of the Signs

The years of the signs for the Manilius technique are a fascinating topic in their own right. First, let’s look at the figures, shown below.

Aries-Pisces: 10 2/3

Taurus-Aquarius: 12 2/3

Gemini-Capricorn: 14 2/3

Cancer-Sagittarius: 16 2/3

Leo-Scorpio: 18 2/3

Virgo-Libra: 20 2/3

Signs of Equal Ascension

You may have noticed that the years of the signs are oriented around the equinoxes. In fact, the signs progressively take on more value based on their distance from the vernal equinox. This is very similar to the rising times of signs in the tropical zodiac.

In the tropical zodiac Aries and Pisces have the shortest rising time (in the northern hemisphere). Their rising times will be equal. The signs opposite them, Libra and Virgo will have the longest rising times. Additionally, their rising times will total 60. Then the other pairs of signs equidistant from the vernal equinox will also have equal rising times. The signs opposite them will always have complementary ones which add to 60. Each pair progressively farther from the vernal equinox will have a longer rising time. I dealt with these at length in the article on sign symmetry.

Adding It Up

In fact, if we ignore the 2/3 fraction on each set of years, then the years appears to be half the rising times of the signs. Aries and Pisces each have a rising time of 20 (degrees of RA). Their complements Virgo and Libra each have a rising time of 40. Each sign and its opposite adds to 60. It is the same for Taurus-Aquarius (24) and Leo-Scorpio (36), as well as Gemini-Capricorn (28) and Cancer-Sagittarius (32).

Were these the rising times of the signs at the latitude where Manilius was working? In fact, earlier in Book III (275-300), Manilius provided the rising times of the signs in terms of stades (half degrees) and in terms of hours in a day (2 hours equal 30 degrees of RA – hence 12 signs rising in 24 hours). His rising times are exactly twice that of the years he assigns to each sign, ignoring the additional 2/3 fraction. For instance, Pisces-Aries have a rising time of 40 stades (20 degrees RA), while Virgo-Libra have 80 stades (40 degrees RA).

Manilius and the Tropical Zodiac?

Only in the tropical zodiac does this relationship hold, as the signs are symmetrical about the equinoxes. The times imply a tropical zodiac starting with the equinox. For instance, if one places the equinox at 8 Aries, rather than 0 Aries, then the sign of Aries would have a significantly shorter rising time than Pisces. The entire sign of Aries would be within 22 degrees of the equinox, while no point of the sign of Pisces would be within 8 degrees of it. Therefore, these type of symmetrical rising times of the signs imply a tropical zodiac.

However, things are not quite so straightforward. While the rising times of the signs imply a tropical zodiac, their use was prior to widespread knowledge of precession. Many astrologers used tables derived sidereally to find zodiacal degrees on one hand while using tables of ascensions that are essentially tropical. In fact, the rising times of the signs given by Vettius Valens (Anthology, Book I, Ch. 7K;6P) are identical to those given by Manilius. Despite the fact that Valens used what are essentially tropical rising times, there is evidence he used sidereal positions for the planets and followed the Babylonians who centuries earlier noted the equinox at 8 degrees of the sign Aries.

Note on Zodiac Issues

As with all zodiac issues prior to the widespread knowledge of precession, things are complicated. Sometimes, as with Valens, one can find an astrologer using three incompatible systems at the same time, due mainly to convenience. The equinox could be assumed to be where the Babylonians found it at 8 Aries, while the sidereal tables used for positions imply an equinox closer to 2 or 3 degrees Aries, and the rising times imply an equinox at 0 Aries. Please see the article on the history of the tropical zodiac, and the article where I explore the chart of Vettius Valens for more information.

Kirkorian by the Manilius Technique

Kerkorian Moon in V

The Moon in Kerkorian’s chart was in Capricorn, which is the 5th house. Manilius asserted that the Moon in the 5th house grants 63 years while Capricorn grants 14 2/3 years. My best guess is that we add these together for an indication of 77 2/3 years. However, the indication is incorrect as he lived to age 98.

Perhaps the Moon gets 25 years, plus the house, plus the sign. Then it is 25+77 2/3= 102 2/3. Or maybe for the sign we must take the remainder of the sign left. 91.61% of the sign is remaining after the Moon. 91.61% times the years of Capricorn (14 2/3) would drop the estimate by a year to about 101 1/2.

Actual Ascensions

The years of the signs used by Manilius are obviously half the rising times of the signs plus a fraction of 2/3. Therefore, it makes sense to consider the actual rising times of the signs, and half of such. Below is a table for the rising times of the signs (in RA) for Kerkorian’s chart (i.e. his latitude).

Kerkorian’s Rising Times

Note that the reason that in reality opposite signs don’t always have rising times that add to 60. Additionally, as one gets closer to the equator, the signs closer to the solstices get longer while those closer to the autumnal equinox get a bit shorter. For this reason, Kerkorian, who was born in southern California, has longer ascensional times for Leo and Scorpio than for Virgo and Libra. However, the rising times of all signs together is equal to 360 (the full daily rotation of the Earth).

Kerkorian was apparently born at a relatively similar latitude as Manilius. Half the rising sign of Capricorn (29.19) is about 14.6, which is actually pretty close to 14. If we add 2/3 to this then it yields about 16 1/3. This doesn’t help us that much due to the similar result.

Further Speculations

Typically in Hellenistic techniques, the sect light or one of its rulers (particularly the bound lord) is the most important planet for longevity. The sect light (the Sun) is in Gemini (14 2/3 years per Manilius), the 10th house (77 years), so indicates 91 2/3 years. Using the actual ascension divided by 2, plus 2/3, only gives a couple more years. Venus is the bound lord and only aspecting lord of the sect light, but she is in the same sign and house so if we use her we get the same indications. 91-94 years is closer but still incorrect.

More Games with Math

Do any relevant combinations of the years of houses and signs yield the correct result?  If we go by half the actual ascensions plus 2/3 we get indications in order from Aries-Pisces of roughly 10, 12, 15, 18, 19, and 19. The Moon is in V (63) in Capricorn (15); total 78. The Sun and Venus are in X (77) in Gemini (15); total 92. Mercury (Asc lord), Mars, and Jupiter are in IX (68) in Taurus (12); total 80. Saturn is in XI (57) in Cancer (18); total 75. None of these add to 98-99.

Perhaps the technique is more complicated. Maybe we take the house position of the Moon (63) plus her sign (15), plus the sign of her ruler (18). That would get us very close, 96 with our rounded sign figures, and actually closer to 97 with more exacting ones (15.26 & 18.25). Perhaps that’s the key or that holds because the ruler aspects the Moon and/or is in her house. I can only guess but this provides a starting point for trying to reconstruct a useful technique of this sort by comparing more charts of the dead.

Manilius Technique Conclusions

In conclusion, Manilius does not provide enough information for use of his technique. The most logical guesses regarding its use don’t yield accurate indications. Manilius does provide us with some intriguing numbers for assigning years to houses, apparently pertaining to the house of the Moon He also provided some years for the signs that are obviously related to the figures he gave for ascensional times in his clime. How these pieces fit together is anyone’s guess.

The Dorothean Technique (1st century CE)

The technique of Dorotheus (1st century CE) is the subject of Book III of his Carmen Astrologicum. The Sun in Kerkorian’s chart would be the important significator to use for length of life, as it is the sect light at the time of birth (Sun by day; Moon by night). Furthermore, it is in one of the 3 most advantageous places (10th from the Ascendant), and it is witnessed by its bound lord, Venus, in the same sign.

Kerkorian Sun on MC with Venus

Malefic Bound in Front of the Sun

Death is said to be indicated by the bound in front of the Sun that is ruled by or aspected by a malefic (exactly to a degree within the bound). Though an intervening aspect of a benefic (to a specific degree within the same bound) can prevent it. Jupiter and Mars are in the same degree in Kerkorian’s chart, so Jupiter should take away the power of a lethal aspect from Mars in all cases. Saturn is at 27 Cancer while Jupiter is at 24 Taurus and Venus is at 26 Gemini, so the possibilities for Saturn to aspect a bound that is not accessible to aspect from Jupiter or Venus is fairly limited.

First Malefic Bound

Very soon after birth, the Sun enters the bound of Mars in Gemini, which is malefic and has no benefic casting a ray into it. He obviously did not die shortly after birth. One may suggest that the already applying bodily conjunction between the Sun and Venus was responsible, or that the harm of Mars was mitigated by its conjunction with Jupiter. It could also be that the indication by bound ruler itself is much weaker than a malefic aspect.

Next Malefic Bounds

The next malefic bound was that of Saturn (of Gemini). It is occupied by Venus, so is protected, according to the Dorothean method. From there the Sun entered the Mars bound of Cancer, which is also not aspected by a benefic. However, one could argue that the aspect of the Moon (sect light) to the bound intervenes. The Jupiter bound of Cancer is aspected by Mars, but also Jupiter, so is protected.

Malefic Bound without Benefic Influence

The Saturn bound of Cancer is occupied by Saturn and has no benefic aspecting the degree, as it starts at 26 Cancer while Jupiter is at 24 Taurus. Therefore, by the Dorothean technique we should expect the death to occur when the Saturn bound of Cancer or exact position of Saturn directs over the Sun.

Kerkorian Saturn Bound of Cancer

Dorotheus used the distance between the two in ascensional times. To do this one can use a table of ascensions for Gemini and Cancer at about 36-37 degrees north latitude. For even greater accuracy, pull the chart up in Morinus and press F10, which will pull up the chart of rise/set times and ascensions at the birth latitude. Gemini has a rising times of 29.195 and Cancer of 35.172. You divide each by 30 to get the number of years to assign to each degree of these signs by ascensional directions.

Each zodiacal degree of Gemini will equate to about 0.974 degrees of ascensions (0.973 years of life) and each of Cancer will equate to about 1.171 degrees of ascensions (1.172 years of life). There are about 14 1/2 degrees of Gemini (14.5*0.973=14.11 years) and 28 degrees of Cancer (28*1.172=32.82 years) between the Sun and Saturn. This equates to almost 47 years directing the Sun by ascensions to Saturn. By true traditional primary directions, the indication is almost 46 years. In any case, Kerkorian lived to age 98, so the indications by the Dorothean technique are wrong.

Fast-Forward to Age 98

But, what bound does the Sun fall into after 98 years, by both ascensions and by directions through the bounds?

Ascensions to Square of the Light

By ascensions, we already noted that the remainder of Gemini gives us about 14.11 years, then all of Cancer gives us 35.172 years (49.282 cumulative), then all of Leo gives us 37.099 years (86.381 cumulative). So, 98 years is only another 11.619 years, or degrees of ascension, into Virgo. There is about 1.22 degrees of ascension for each zodiacal degree in Virgo, so there are (11.619/1.22=) just over 9.5 degrees in Virgo before the time of death. 9 Virgo is in the bound of Venus (7-17 Virgo). It is a bound ruled by a benefic and is only aspected by the Sun.

While there is not malefic aspect to the bound, it is the bound where the square of the Sun (15 Virgo) directs to the Sun. Dorotheus does not name the square of the Sun as being a dangerous direction. However, we will find that the square of the significator is significant as the indication for length of maximum life by Valens (also see Ptolemy below).

Kerkorian Solar Square in Venus Bound of Virgo

Primary Direction to Complex Mars Bound

Perhaps more significant in relation to the Dorothean technique, is that by true primary directions, it is the Mars bound of Virgo, that directs to the Sun at the time of death.

Kerkorian the Sun directed to Bound of Mars in October 2014

The bound is a malefic one and is aspected by both malefics, but is also aspected by both benefics. Therefore, it is still problematic by the Dorothean technique,as benefic aspects should remove the harm. Still, the bound is a malefic one aspected by both malefics, so one could argue that the malefics have the upper hand overall. Additionally, the guy has to die at some point and this is the sect light in a dangerous bound at an extremely advanced age (98).

Kerkorian Mars Bound of Virgo has 5 Planetary Rays Including Both Malefics

Lunar Directions

In a likely later addition to Carmen (from Book III, Ch. 1), it was suggested to direct the Moon as well. Further in this article, I’ll explore a multitude of true primary directions. However, in the context of the Dorothean approach, I’m most interested in directions by ascensions to different bounds. The Moon’s direction through the Mars bound of Capricorn should have been particularly deadly in this sense. It is a malefic bound, opposed by Saturn, and not aspected by a benefic. This would have indicated a death before age 27, so again there are issues with the technique as given.

Kerkorian Mars Bound of Capricorn Opposed by Saturn

Where does the Moon direct by ascensions around age 98. Well each degree of Capricorn gets .973 years (29.195/30), and there are 27.5 of them left in the sign (26.76 years). After that Aquarius gets 22.72 years (49.48 cumulative), and Pisces gets 19.19 years (68.67 cumulative), then Aries gets the same (87.86 cumulative), so we’ll be just over 10 years in Taurus (98-87.86=10.14). Each degree of Taurus equals .76 years, therefore we’d be just over 13 degrees into Taurus (10.14/.76). 13 Taurus is in the Mercury bound and is not aspected by any planets. Therefore, ascensions from the Moon give us false positives early in life and a negative when death actually occurs. They are not helpful at all by this method in this case.

Dorothean Technique Conclusions

The Dorothean technique points to directions to the significator by malefic bounds and malefic aspects to the bounds as particularly important. They certainly are I’ve shown in many other posts in this series. However, the assertion that such an indication MUST indicated death when lacking the intervening aspect of a benefic both over-predicts and under-predicts death. It over-predicts because the direction of Saturn to the Sun should have brought death to Kerkorian. It under-predicts because it failed to account for the fact that the death occurred (with multiple malefic directions in a malefic bound) while benefics intervened.

If directions by ascensions are the key, then we may be looking at an instance in which the square of the Sun is marking an upper limit for length of life. Other Hellenistic astrologers who directed by ascensions (e.g. Valens) also saw the square of the control as possibly indicating a maximum lifespan. Kerkorian has a very strong control which is conjunct the MC and witnessed by a benefic bound lord in the same sign. Therefore, we may expect that he makes it to the control’s maximum lifespan (the bound it squares).

If true primary directions are the key, then this is a case in which the Sun actually directed well past its own square but a malefic bound aspected by both malefics brought death. Note in this case that the malefics aspected by trine and sextile, and both benefics aspected as well.

The Ptolemaic Technique (2nd century CE)

See Book III, Ch. 10 of the Tetrabiblos for Ptolemy’s technique. Ptolemy also would take the Sun as the significator (as it is sect light and in the 10th place). Ptolemy advised to look at actual primary directions involving the Sun (not ascensional times). As the Sun is just past the MC (provided the birth time is not off by a couple minutes), he advised us to look at two things. First, the direction of the Sun itself to the Descendant (i.e. converting the setting of the Sun into years). Secondly, the directions to the Sun of malefics (especially by body, square, or opposition). Ptolemy appears to have regarded the square of the significator as also deadly.

Kerkorian Sun on MC with Venus

Descendant Direction Complexity

There is some confusion regarding his technique of directing the significator to the Descendant. He made a comment about aspects of benefics adding year and malefics subtracting years from the total indicated. According to him this is to be done by a proportion of hourly times. We’ll return to this. First, we find the distance from Sun to Descendant. Basically, for Kerkorian, we must first find the time when the Sun sets by primary directions. This is at about age 108.

Note on Hephaistio

Hephaistio commented on the Ptolemaic technique in Book II, Ch. 11 of Apotolesmatiks. Note that Hephaistio interpreted that the distance from significator to Descendant was to be measured in ascensions (p. 35 of Schmidt trans.), or possibly in descensions (60 minus the ascensions). This is a mis-interpretation as Ptolemy advised to use true primary directions. Additionally, the use of ascensional times for points that are descending gives extremely inaccurate times.

Finding Proportional Hourly Times of Planets

From here, we must find the rise and set times of the benefics, malefics, and/or Mercury, when any such planets have an aspect that intervenes from the Sun’s journey to the Descendant. Then find the time it takes to go from rising to setting (setting to rising for planets below the horizon). Divide that time by 12 to convert it into an “hourly” time for the planet. Next, divide the hourly time of the planet by 4 to convert it into an hourly time in RA (degrees of right ascension; 1 degree equals 4 minutes of clock time). This is the “hourly time” of the planet in RA. The amount added or subtracted then depends on the proportion of arc that the planet has traveled for its journey from rising to setting or vice-versa, multiplied by its hourly time.

For example, if it is a benefic with an hourly time of 15 and it has 1/3 of its journey left to set (or rise if below the horizon), then it adds 5 years.

Note, the table below is from the software Janus. The rise/set times in Morinus are not local clock times so they are harder to work with in this method, especially for figuring out the proportion of arc.

Adding It Up

We may judge Mercury to be malefic in the chart because it is most closely conjunct Mars (Ptolemy says to judge it by its closest configurations). In this case, the Sun will meet the aspects of Jupiter, Venus, Mars, and Mercury twice, and the aspect of Saturn three times before it sets.  It is unclear whether each aspect from the planet adds or subtracts, of if we are just to add each relevant planet once. Given the time left until they set, each of these planets individually adds and subtracts the following on their own in this chart:

Jupiter +5.3 years

Venus +10 years

Mars -6.4 years

Mercury -6.2 years

Saturn -12.9 years

If we do the additions and subtractions only once per intervening planet, then the net added is negative 10.2 years, with a life expectancy of about 98.2 years This figure accords with this actual length of life of 98 years. If we must add and subtract for each separate aspect then the net added is negative 33.3 years, for a life expectancy of 74.7 years. We got the correct result from just adding/subtracting once, so that is more promising, but also counter-intuitive. Why should we being adding or subtracting each hourly time only once, rather than adding or subtracting for each relevant aspect? Perhaps the determination by aspect is simply to know whether a planet will have an influence or not. In any case, this is certainly one of the most complex length-of-life techniques of the Hellenistic period.

Aspectual Primary Directions

The other part of Ptolemy’s technique is the more typical strategy. It is to look in front of the significator to see what will direct to it. The direction of a malefic (or the Sun if the significator is the Moon) to the significator will indicate death. Death is prevented if the potential killing degree is located in a benefic bound, or is aspected by Jupiter within 12 degrees or by Venus within 8 degrees. However, a planet cannot save or destroy if it is under the beams of the Sun (i.e. within 15 degrees of the Sun).

Mars is conjunct Jupiter, so no aspect of Mars will ever meet the killing criteria. Venus is under the beams, so cannot save. Therefore, there are some aspects of Saturn that fall without the intervention of Jupiter, but not until 27 Libra. However, that is within the Venus bound of Libra, so also does not qualify. Therefore, such a malefic aspect is not possible by directions.

Square of Releaser

Ptolemy notes that the square to the place of the releaser (significator) also can indicate death. However, Ptolemy insisted on actual primary directions rather than directing with symbolic ascensional times. The degree of the actual direction of the square of the Sun to itself is in late 2009, a full 6 years before death. As noted, there is a square of the Sun to itself (or at least the bound where it squares itself) around the time of death but only by ascensional times.

Directions at Time of Death

The closest major direction to the Sun at the time of death was the trine of Mercury. It was applying at the time but doesn’t seem particularly nasty according to Ptolemy’s guidance. After all, it is Mercury, a trine, and Jupiter aspects within 2 degrees.

Kerkorian Directions Just Before and After Death

Ptolemaic Technique Conclusions

In conclusion, the technique of using aspectual primary directions as given by Ptolemy is not a reliable indicator of length of life, at least for a planet in the quadrant from MC to DSC. His much more complex technique of directing to the Descendant and then adding/subtracting by a proportion of hourly times may hold some promise. However, the correct results also could be due to chance, so more research is needed.

The Main Valens Technique (2nd century CE)

Vettius Valens provided numerous techniques for length of life in Book III of his Anthology. There are even more longevity techniques scattered across most of the books of the Anthology. Here I will focus on what appears to be his preferred technique. It relates strongly to the techniques of Dorotheus and Ptolemy.

Three Maximums

The technique is related to the Dorothean and Ptolemaic techniques but also assesses a maximum length of life based on ascensional times. The maximum can be one of three distances converted into ascensional time. First, it can be from the significator to its square (i.e. the point zodiacally 90 degrees from it). Alternatively, it can be the planetary years of the bound lord of the significator. Finally, there are also times when it can be the distance from an angle of the chart to the next angle – namely the angles on either side of the significator.

Obtaining the Text

There is a free translation of the Anthology available at this link. However, in this matter I recommend the Project Hindsight translation of Book (IIB and) III (available for $30 as a PDF if you email Ellen Black of Project Hindsight). Its footnotes are invaluable for serious study of the technique.

Control

Valens would also take the Sun as the significator as it is the sect light, in the 10th, and with its bound lord. Therefore, according to Valens, the Sun predominates in the chart. It is the control and Venus is the relevant governor.

Kerkorian Sun on MC with Venus

Sun to its Square

The first determination is according to the ascensional times from the Sun’s position to the square of its position in front of it (i.e. from 15 Gemini to 15 Virgo). As noted in the section on the Dorothean technique above, there are 98 ascensional times between the Sun’s position and about 9.5 Virgo. Adding another 5.5 zodiacal degrees given a conversion of about 1.2 ascensional times per degree (~6.6), brings us to almost 105 ascensional times. Therefore, almost 105 years is our indication of maximum lifespan by the square method.

Planetary Years of the Ruler

According to Valens, we then look at the greater years of the ruler, Venus. She assigns her total greater years (82 years; or 84 years as indicated in some places in Valens and Maternus) because she is well placed. If she indicates less than the square method then Valens advised to prefer her indication as the maximum length of life. Therefore, we conclude that the maximum length of life is 82 or 84 years, and are incorrect.

Malefic Aspect

Now, we must check to see if a malefic aspect intervenes between the Sun and its square, without a benefic aspect within 7 degrees of the same. Saturn’s direction is protected by Jupiter, as is the  square of Mars in Leo, and there are no other significant malefic directions in that span. Therefore, we conclude that the length of life is 82 or 84 years according to the indication by the planetary years of Venus. This technique leads to bad results.

Revisiting the Square of the Significator

It is worth noting that the indication by ascensional times from the Sun to its square is relatively good as a maximum length of life at 105 years. Therefore, the technique of using ascensional times of the square may have some value.

Perhaps the indication of Venus should not be used because she is under the beams (though this is not specified by Valens). In that case, we prefer the square of the significator and find it to be relatively accurate.

Angle to Angle

Valens also suggests the possibility of judging from the angle prior to the control (significator) to that following it. The ascensional times of the signs from the Descendant to the MC are very small, and would provide an indication under 61 years, which is way off the mark. If we use the MC to the Ascendant, then the span is slightly longer than that of the Sun to its square, so it would add a couple  more years to the sum which is less accurate than the square of the Sun.

Another possible apheta (significator) for the angles calculation is the Hylegical Lot. This is calculated from the nearest New Moon (before or after birth) to the Moon position. The lot is at 22 Pisces. This is near the Descendant, so we would again end up with a much shorter indication of death in his sixties (i.e. Dsc to MC). I won’t be exploring further the more obscure techniques that Valens also discusses in different chapters of Book III.

Note on True Primary Directions

We may wonder about the use of the Valens technique with actual primary directions rather than ascensional times. Obviously, this would not effect the indications by years of Venus, and the fact that malefic directions are protected, but it would affect the indication by the square of the Sun. The square of the Sun directs to the Sun in late 2009, when the native is 92 years old. Therefore, this indication too is not accurate.

Valens Technique Conclusions

Valens use of the square of the significator in ascensional times as a length of life may hold some promise but more work is needed. Fortunately, or unfortunately, Valens presents many disparate techniques for length of life in the Anthology, scattered across most of the books of the work. It is difficult to evaluate (or even clearly understand) them all. I won’t be exploring his other longevity techniques here but the possibility for finding good length of life techniques in the Anthology is still out there.

The Maternus Technique (4th century CE)

Maternus (Book II, Ch. 26 and Book IV, Ch. 6 of Mathesis) advised taking the ruler of the sign following that of the Moon as the chart ruler. The Moon is in Capricorn in Kerkorian’s chart so the following sign is Aquarius. Its planetary years are the length of life. Which set of planetary years to use depends on the condition of the planet.

 

Kerkorian Saturn in XI

In this case, the chart ruler is Saturn (ruler of Aquarius).  Saturn is in the 11th house and in its own bound so would likely be considered to provide its greater years, which are 57 years. This technique provides an indication that is very far off the mark.

Alternative Rulers

Maternus noted a diversity of opinion on finding the ruler of the nativity. Some took the planet that is in one of the principal houses of the chart and in its own sign or bound, others took the bound lord of the sect light, and others took the ruler (or exaltation ruler?) of the Moon.

Only Saturn is both in an advantageous place (the 11th) and in its own bound or sign (in this case, it’s bound – not that Maternus didn’t use the concept of detriment). Saturn is also the sign ruler of the Moon, but as noted, Saturn indicates only 57 years.

The bound lord of the Sun  is Venus, and she indicates at most 82 or 84 years. Mars is the exaltation ruler of the Moon’s signs and can only indicate at most 66 years (but is cadent and out of sect, so would indicate less here).

Maternus Technique Conclusions

No matter how you slice it, the Maternus-style technique involving planetary years does not yield the correct results.

The Technique of Paulus Alexandrinus (4th century CE)

Paulus Alexandrinus provided a hybrid planetary year technique which combines some features of the Dorothean technique with features of the Maternus technique. This technique was later combined with that of Ptolemy to form the basis of the most well-known Medieval approach to length of life.

In Chapter 34 of Introductory Matters (on crises), Paulus advised to examine primary directions (by ascensions) to Ascendant, Sun, and Moon involving certain malefic planets and points. However, he did not explicitly use directions in the context of his length of life technique. His length of life technique (Ch. 36) has more in common with the technique of Maternus than with those of Dorotheus, Ptolemy, and Valens.

Planetary Years of the Lord of the Hyleg

As with Maternus, he finds a “ruler” that indicates the length of life by planetary years. His instructions for finding the ruler are similar to the instructions given by Dorotheus to find the ruler of the control, called the governor. In other words, he takes a ruler of the control (typically the sect light), but not necessarily its bound ruler, and he prefers if it aspects the hyleg and to be itself strongly placed. The length of life pertains to this planet’s planetary years. Planets in whole sign aspect to the ruler can add or subtract years from its total.

If this sounds familiar then you’ve probably studied Medieval astrology. This methodology is the direct ancestor of the Medieval hyleg and alcocoden approach.

 

Kirk Kerkorian’s Natal Chart

Paulus would select Venus as such a ruler, as she is the only ruler of the Sun that sees the Sun. Venus indicates 82 years. Planets in whole sign aspect to Venus may add or subtract years from this indication. However, there are no such planets. The Sun cannot add years in the approach of Paulus. Therefore, 82 years are indicated (or less as Venus is under the beams), which is incorrect.

Paulus Technique Conclusions

The technique of Paulus is superior to that of Maternus in that it relates to some of the instructions prior astrologers gave for finding the governor and using its planetary years. Additionally, it has the added element of allowing planets to add years. Despite allowing malefics to add years in certain circumstances, Paulus does not even allow us to play games with the math in order to contrive a lifespan of 98 using his instructions. Rather than rejecting this approach, later Perso-Arabic astrologers like ‘Umar al-Tabari simply made it more complex, doubling the ways in which numbers could be added and subtracted, while greatly increasing the ambiguity. While the technique was later combined with primary directions, it was also often seen as providing a minimum lifespan, before which a primary direction could not kill. In this way, planetary years of a governor, rather than primary directions of a control, became the primary indication of longevity.

Summary Findings on Special Techniques

Arguably, only Ptolemy’s very complex method for modifying the indication of the Sun’s direction to the descendant provided correct results when followed per instructions. Of course, this result could have been due to chance. However, there are elements of the techniques of Dorotheus, Ptolemy, and Valens that appear to hold some promise. These “best techniques” all involve primary directions, either true ones or symbolic ones by ascensional times.

Dorotheus clued us into the relevance of the directed bound lords and to aspectual primary directions within bounds. Ptolemy clued us into the importance of malefic directions and the possibility that the direction of the significator to the Descendant (possibly modified by hourly times) could be significant. Valens clued us into the importance of the ascensional time length from the control to its square as a possible maximum life span.

The indications that are most off the mark are those that use planetary years, whether by Valens, Maternus, or Paulus Alexandrinus. Interestingly, planetary years came to provide the main indication of general length of life in the late Medieval period.

Part II: Other Factors

I typically examine the astrology of death in terms of other factors that coincide with the death rather than in the context of a special technique. I don’t believe any traditional predictive technique reliably and accurately predicts length of life. However, as death is arguably one of the most important events in life, there are many indications of danger or hardship shown by predictive techniques.

Relevant Planet

Mars is arguably the most relevant planet for death in the chart. It is the out of sect malefic and rules the 8th house. It also afflicts the lord of the Ascendant (Mercury) somewhat due to its conjunction with it. Additionally, Mars rules the 8th place from Fortune, which is Scorpio.

Saturn and Venus are of less interest but also significant, particularly Saturn. Saturn is in the Moon’s sign and opposes the Moon. Additionally, Saturn is in a close square with the Lot of Death and is positioned in the Place of Affliction. Venus is somewhat noteworthy, but much less so. She rules Mars and Mercury, and she rules the Lot of Death which she closely aspects. Her twelfth-part is also in Aries (the 8th place of death).

Profections

Kerkorian turned 98 shortly before his death. On his 98th birthday, June 6th, 2015, the annual profection shifted to Scorpio, ruled by Mars. Therefore, Mars was the lord of the year for the year of death. Mars is in Taurus in his natal chart, so the profection was also in opposition to Mars.

Kerkorian Profection

As his death occurred in the first month after his birth day, the monthly profection was also still in Scorpio. In other words, Mars was lord of the both the year and month of his death.

Solar Return

Kerkorian’s final solar return is striking. Mars is conjunct the Sun within 3 degrees. They are both with Mercury (lord of the natal 1st). Note that the Sun is the main significator of life in the chart (it is the sect light and prominently placed). We have discussed it multiple times as the control. Here it is afflicted by the main indicator of death in the chart (Mars).  Additionally, Saturn is in Sagittarius, opposing the Mercury-Sun-Mars configuration.

Kerkorian 2015 Solar Return

Both benefics are in Leo, which is the 12th house of the natal chart, an ineffective place.

Kerkorian 2015 Solar Return (Outer) to Natal (Inner)

Distributor: Directing through the Bounds

As noted above in the context of the Dorothean technique, the sect light, the Sun, had directed into the bound of Mars in Virgo in late 2014.

Therefore, the bound lord of the directed sect light was Mars, and additionally Mars aspects that bound.

Kerkorian Mars Bound with 5 Aspects

Mars Recap

Before looking at the transits at death, let’s recap the role of Mars here. We found that Mars is the most relevant planet for death as it it rules the 8th of death and the 8th from Fortune, another place of death, while afflicting the Ascendant lord. Profections for the period were to Scorpio, the 8th from Fortune, ruled by Mars. Therefore, Mars was activated as the Lord of the Year and the Month at the time of his death. When we examine the Solar Return for the year, we find Mars conjunct the Sun and with Mercury, emphasizing relevance for health (Sun is control in the chart; Mercury is Ascendant Lord). Mars is also opposed by Saturn, adding additional negative oomph.  When we look at the distributions of the Sect Light we again found Mars highlighted as the Sun was directing through the Mars bound of Mercury, coming up to the aspects of Mercury and Mars to that bound.

Transits

The transits at the time of death were also striking. The transiting Sun was in partile conjunction with transiting Mars (i.e. they were conjunct in the same degree) on the day of death! The transiting Moon is applying to join them in the same sign, Gemini, which is the natal sign of the Sun. Additionally, by this time Saturn had retrograded back into Scorpio, the sign of the annual profection.  Therefore, even with the transits, we see multiple repeat indications of Mars afflicting the Sun to indicate the time of death.

Kerkorian Transits on Day of Death 6/15/15

 

Kerkorian Transits (Outer) to Natal (Inner) on Day of Death 06/15/15

Additional Note: Secondary Directions

A reader recently asked me about secondary progressions (which are in fact Hellenistic) and if they pertain to death. I told her that I’ve seen a number of death occur near the time the secondary progressed Moon conjoins Saturn. Kerkorian had one of those deaths. The SP Moon was tightly conjunct SP Saturn within half a degree at the time of death.

Kerkorian Secondary Progressions Age 98

PDs in Chart

For the sake of completion, let’s look at the bounds of the zodiac that were directing over every point in the chart at age 98 for Kerkorian. Below are the primary directions in a chart. What we are looking at is basically the natal positions frozen in time relative to the horizon and meridian. The degrees of the zodiac are different for all factors because it is as if we had rotate all the degrees of the zodiac over those natal positions, just like they rotated in the hours after birth by the primary motion. We can see which bound each planet and point was directing through by this method but we will have to look to the natal chart to see which planets aspect those bounds (i.e. which aspects were carried to the significators).

 

 

 

 

 

Kerkorian PDs in Chart Age 98

Bounds

Here we can see the Sun (on MC) directing through the Mars bound of Virgo as noted earlier, which is significant as that bound is aspected by 5 planets, including both malefics. The Moon and the Ascendant are less noteworthy as each directs through the bounds of benefics, which are unaspected. Fortune, Venus, Saturn, Mars, Mercury, and Jupiter all direct through malefic bounds. So let’s look more closely at those.

Aspects

 

Kirk Kerkorian’s Natal Chart

Fortune was directing through the Saturn bound of Gemini. This is the bound occupied by Venus in the natal chart, so she would take away the danger there. It has no other aspects.

Venus was directing through the Saturn bound of Libra. This bound is aspected only by the Moon, which is by square. Venus is very close to the square of the Moon by direction (11′ away). Perhaps Venus is the actual control and the Moon’s aspect is malefic due to her rulership by Saturn and opposition with it. The only issue with this is that closer to age 30 we would’ve expected death as Saturn directed to Venus bodily from the Saturn bound of Cancer, a bound unaspected by benefics. Saturn coming to Venus bodily from a Saturn bound unaspected by malefics is much most striking than the square of the Moon.

Saturn was directing through the end of the Mars bound of Libra. This bound is aspected only by Saturn so it is particularly malefic. If Saturn is control then it would also be the control’s own square. This is compelling though the exact aspect would have occurred a couple years prior to death.

Stellium

Mercury, Mars, and Jupiter are conjunct natally, and all were directing through the Mars bound of Leo. This bound has the square of Mars and Jupiter to it (Mercury squares the previous bound), but also the sextile of Venus. Therefore, the bound is aspected by both benefics. Additionally, the squares of Mars and Jupiter would have been exact years prior as they are at the start of the bound (24 Leo).

Prenatal Syzygy

I should also mention that the prenatal syzygy (at 14 Sagittarius) was directing through the Mars bound of Pisces. Like the Mars bound of Virgo, this bound is aspected by 5 planets, including both benefics, both malefics, and Mercury. However, the syzygy had just entered the bound a little over a year prior. It starts at 19 Pisces so the syzygy was still a couple degrees from the aspect with Mercury at the time of death.

Mars Bounds

It is intriguing that so many significant points were directing through bounds ruled by Mars. The Sun (and MC), Fortune, the Prenatal Syzygy, the Mercury-Mars-Jupiter conjunction, and Saturn were all doing so. The Sun, the stellium, and the syzygy were also directing through bounds aspected by Mars. This contributes to our indications by general techniques that Mars was very highlighted for the period.

Conclusion

People sometimes ask me why most of my traditional analyses of death lack the use of special techniques for predicting longevity. Here I’ve presented an answer. None of the existing longevity techniques are perfect. The more prominent Medieval techniques for longevity are particularly inaccurate. However, some of the techniques involving directions are worth further exploration and there still plenty of things to try in Valens’s Anthology.

I do advocate the use of special techniques rather than individual factors for most in depth analysis. However, when it comes to death I prefer a combination of predictive techniques. They provide some of the clearest and most intriguing reinforced indications. Though it would be almost impossible to know with certainty that those indications were for death rather than some other difficult event.

There are elements of early length of life techniques that I make use of and that I keep in mind to regularly test. However, I know of no special techniques of Hellenistic or Medieval astrology that always reliably indicate the length of one’s life.

 

Update April 2019

This article was significantly edited, expanded, and revised in April of 2019. The primary additions included a deeper discussion of the techniques of Manilius, clearer chart diagrams, and the note about secondary progressions.

Image Attribution

Featured image of this article (bas relief of Lachesis) by Jim Kuhn [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons